People News - 1080 - 13 November 2008

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Renminbi deposit drop is bad news for loan market

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Poll of the week

Renminbi deposits in Hong Kong declined in December to Rmb588.5bn ($93.3bn), a 6.2% drop from the previous month. It was the second fall in deposits in three months, after an almost unbroken growth period for the last two years. How much of an impact will this have on the development of the offshore renminbi loan market?

It will have a big impact. The offshore renminbi loan cannot become significant without further deposit growth.

20%
It will some impact on potential growth, but there are already enough deposits to support a big boost in lending.

40%
It will have little impact. The market is going nowhere anytime soon.

40%